Business

Persistent Systems shares fall up to 5% after analysts cut targets citing rich valuations


Shares of Persistent Systems Ltd. are trading as much as 5% lower on Wednesday, April 22, after brokerages reacted to its fourth quarter (Q4FY26) earnings, which came in slightly below expectations on key parameters.

Constant currency revenue growth stood at 3.4% for the quarter, marginally below estimates of 3.5-4%, while EBIT margins came in at 16.3%, missing expectations of 16.9%.

Total deal wins declined 10% sequentially to $600.8 million from $674.5 million.
Despite the softer quarter, the company is still expected to deliver industry-leading growth of 17.4% in FY26, along with a 90 basis points expansion in margins.

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Brokerage firm CLSA maintained an ‘Outperform’ rating but cut its price target to ₹6,520. It said that Persistent delivered a steady performance despite concerns around the ‘Saaspocalypse’ narrative and AI-led deflation in IT services.

Revenue growth, order bookings, and revenue per employee remained stable. However, CLSA pointed out two key negatives: margin pressure due to higher software license sales, and a moderation in the FY27 outlook.

The company now expects to achieve a $2 billion annualised revenue run-rate by Q4FY27, while guiding for EBIT margins in the 16-17% range over the next two years.

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HSBC retained a ‘Hold’ rating with a price target of ₹5,755. While it acknowledged Persistent’s sector-leading growth and its ability to offset weakness in top clients, it flagged a slightly softer FY27 outlook and rich valuations, with the stock trading at nearly a 100% premium to the sector.

JPMorgan maintained an ‘Overweight’ rating with a price target of ₹5,900. It described the quarter as mixed, with a revenue beat, margin miss, and strong TCV/ACV growth.

Growth was led by the healthcare segment, while improving deal momentum is seen supporting FY27 revenue visibility. Margins, excluding one-offs, stood at 17%, providing a stable base for FY27 guidance.

Nomura retained a ‘Neutral’ rating with a price target of ₹5,200, citing a modest miss in Q4 and margin pressure due to corporate development expenses.

The brokerage also lowered its FY27-28 EPS estimates by 2-4%, while citing elevated valuations.

Persistent Systems shares ended 0.82% higher on Tuesday at ₹5,369, ahead of the earnings announcement. The stock has risen 14% over the past month.



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