Our leading predictive model gives Pliskova a 52% chance of winning against Siegemund at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Pliskova has a 52% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Siegemund (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Laura Siegemund vs. Karolina Pliskova odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Siegemund | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +102 | -119 |
| First Set | -111 | -111 |
| Game Spread | +1.5 (-122) | -1.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-118) | u21.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Siegemund vs. Pliskova picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Siegemund | +102 |
| First Set | Pliskova | -118 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Siegemund vs. Pliskova updates and essential details
The WTA Italian Open match between Laura Siegemund and Karolina Pliskova is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET.
- Who: Laura Siegemund vs. Karolina Pliskova
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Approx. Time: 2:10 PM ET/11:10AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women’s Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Karolina Pliskova, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Laura Siegemund at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
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