Crypto
Ethereum Price to $40,000 By 2030, Says Standard Chartered — Is It Likely?
Key Takeaways
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Ethereum’s price fell below $2,000 for the first time since March 29.
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Santiment warned that retail “buy the dip” optimism may be a bearish contrarian signal.
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The drop came shortly after Bitmine’s Tom Lee reiterated a bullish “supercycle” view.
Standard Chartered has reaffirmed its long-term bullish outlook for Ethereum, maintaining a forecast that it could reach $40,000 by 2030, despite a prolonged downturn that has pushed the token below $2,000.
The call comes as Ethereum’s price struggles amid a wave of leveraged liquidations and broader market uncertainty.
Even so, the bank’s head of digital assets research, Geoff Kendrick, argues that Ethereum’s current weakness masks its long-term potential.
CCN checked in with two of the leading AI platforms to assess the bullish prediction.
Standard Chartered Sticks to Ethereum Price Target
In a recent note to clients, Kendrick reiterated Standard Chartered’s forecast that Ethereum could climb to $4,000 by the end of 2026.
By the end of the decade, the bank sees it advancing to $40,000, implying a roughly twentyfold increase from current levels.
The bank’s optimism stands in sharp contrast to wider market sentiment.
Kendrick has consistently argued that Ethereum’s investment case extends beyond classic crypto speculation, pointing to its growing role in stablecoins and tokenization.
In a 2024 interview with CCN, Kendrick said he expected Ethereum to broadly keep pace with Bitcoin, projecting the crypto could reach around $8,000 if Bitcoin achieved his then-forecast target of $150,000.
Why Standard Chartered Compares Ethereum to Amazon in 2001
The bank’s latest Ethereum thesis draws comparisons with Amazon during the aftermath of the dot-com crash.
In 2001, when the technology company experienced a sharp collapse in its share price, it continued to build the infrastructure that would later increase its dominance in e-commerce.
Standard Chartered argues Ethereum may be experiencing a similar disconnect.
While the crypto remains significantly below its all-time highs and continues to face investor skepticism, supporters view the network as critical infrastructure for a new generation of financial applications.
However, the analogy has limits.
Amazon was a centralized corporation attempting to prove the viability of a new business model.
Ethereum, a decentralized blockchain network, aims to become a foundational layer for global digital finance.
Retail Investors Rush to Buy Ethereum Dip
Despite Ethereum’s slide below the closely watched $2,000 level, blockchain analytics firm Santiment said retail traders have responded with an unusually optimistic “buy the dip” mentality rather than panic selling.
“Ethereum has just seen its market value fall below $2,000 for the first time since March 29,” Santiment Intelligence said in a market update on Thursday.
According to the analytics firm, sharp declines typically trigger either fear-driven selling or renewed buying interest from retail traders.
In Ethereum’s case, Santiment said the latter has dominated market sentiment.
“Retail has erupted with ‘buy the dip’ calls toward ETH as a result of this drop below a key psychological support level,” the firm said.
However, Santiment cautioned that extreme bullishness among retail traders can often serve as a contrarian indicator.
“The crowd usually gets calls wrong,” the firm said, warning that Ethereum “may have a bit further to fall” if traders remain overly confident that the recent decline represents an immediate buying opportunity.
Bank Has Turned More Cautious on XRP and Bitcoin
Standard Chartered’s bullish stance on Ethereum follows its more cautious outlook toward several other major cryptocurrencies.
In February, Kendrick lowered the bank’s year-end 2026 forecast for XRP to $2.80 from a previous target of $8.00.
He cited weaker market conditions and the potential for further downside across digital assets before a broader recovery takes hold.
The bank also reduced its end-2026 Bitcoin forecast to $100,000 from $150,000; at the time, it marked the second downward revision in less than three months.
ChatGPT’s Ethereum Price Reaction
When asked whether Ethereum could realistically reach $40,000 by 2030, ChatGPT said the target was ambitious but not outside the realm of possibility.
“Ethereum reaching $40,000 by 2030 would require a dramatic expansion in blockchain adoption,” it said.
“But it is not an implausible scenario if the network becomes a core layer of global digital finance.”
The AI noted that Ethereum’s future depends less on crypto speculation and more on real-world usage.
“The bullish case is built around stablecoins, tokenized assets, decentralized finance, and blockchain-based settlement systems,” it said.
Grok’s Take
Grok was more skeptical of the projection.
“Could Ethereum hit $40,000 by 2030? Sure. Could it also spend years disappointing investors? Also, sure,” the chatbot said.
It argued that long-term crypto forecasts often assume success while ignoring obstacles.
“People love drawing straight lines from innovation to trillion-dollar valuations,” it added. “Reality usually involves competition, setbacks, regulatory headaches, and plenty of hype getting wiped out along the way.”
Grok also pushed back on comparisons to Amazon.
“Amazon built a dominant business with revenue, profits, and customers. Ethereum is trying to become the plumbing for a future financial system that doesn’t fully exist yet,” it wrote.
“That’s a much harder bet to quantify.”
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