Data Skrive
March 6, 2026Updated March 7, 2026, 6:36 p.m. ET
In the BNP Paribas Open Round of 64 on Saturday, we have a matchup featuring No. 31-ranked Cristina Bucsa against No. 21 Elise Mertens.
Mertens is favored (-220) to get to the Round of 32 compared to the underdog Bucsa (+170).
Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Saturday at 6:36 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Elise Mertens vs. Cristina Bucsa matchup info
- Tournament: BNP Paribas Open
- Round: Round of 64
- Date: Saturday, March 7
- Court Surface: Hard
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Mertens vs. Bucsa Prediction
Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Mertens has a 68.8% to win.
Mertens vs. Bucsa Betting Odds
- Mertens’ odds to win match: -220
- Bucsa’s odds to win match: +170
Mertens vs. Bucsa matchup performance & stats
- Mertens is 15-13 on hard courts over the past 12 months.
- In terms of serve/return winning percentages on hard courts over the past 12 months, Mertens has won 71.5% of her games on serve and 37.3% on return.
- Mertens is 62nd in break points won on hard courts over the past year, converting 106 of 239 (44.4%).
- In the the WTA Dubai, UAE, Mertens’ most recent tournament, she was defeated 6-2, 6-7, 3-6 by No. 4-ranked Coco Gauff on February 18 in the Round of 16.
- Bucsa is 22-17 in 17 tournaments on hard courts over the past year, and she has won one tournament title.
- When playing on hard surfaces, Bucsa has a 65.9% winning percentage in service games and a 39.7% winning percentage in return games.
- Bucsa has won 45.7% of break points on hard courts (154 out of 337) which ranks 12th.
- Bucsa brought home the title in the Merida Open Akron, her most recent tournament, emerging victorious over No. 57-ranked Magdalena Frech (6-1, 4-6, 6-4) in the final on March 1.
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