Data Skrive
March 9, 2026, 6:37 a.m. ET
In a match scheduled for Tuesday, Jasmine Paolini (No. 7 in rankings) will take on Talia Gibson (No. 112) in the Round of 16 at the BNP Paribas Open.
Paolini is favored over Gibson for this match, with -250 odds against the the underdog’s +190.
Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 6:37 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Talia Gibson vs. Jasmine Paolini matchup info
- Tournament: BNP Paribas Open
- Round: Round of 16
- Date: Tuesday, March 10
- Court Surface: Hard
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Gibson vs. Paolini Prediction
Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Gibson has a 71.4% to win.
Gibson vs. Paolini Betting Odds
- Gibson’s odds to win match: +190
- Paolini’s odds to win match: -250
Gibson vs. Paolini matchup performance & stats
- Gibson has a match record of 6-10 on hard courts over the last 12 months.
- In terms of serve/return winning percentages on hard courts over the past 12 months, Gibson has won 68.5% of her games on serve and 28.6% on return.
- Gibson has converted 48 of 120 break points on hard courts (40.0%) over the past 12 months and is 126th in break points won.
- In the the Australian Open, Gibson’s previous tournament, she was defeated 6-3, 5-7, 3-6 by No. 22-ranked Diana Shnaider on January 20 in the Round of 64.
- Paolini has gone 24-15 through 13 tournaments on hard courts over the past 12 months.
- Paolini has 270 wins in 404 service games on hard courts (66.8%), and 150 wins in 399 return games (37.6%).
- On hard courts Paolini has won 46.5% of break points (145 out of 312) to rank 18th.
- In her last tournament (the Merida Open Akron) on February 28, Paolini matched up with Cristina Bucsa in the semifinals and lost 5-7, 4-6.
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