73 matches and 64 days after the first ball of IPL 2026, the title race is down to its final act. Royal Challengers Bengaluru and Gujarat Titans have been the two standout teams of the season, arriving at the summit clash through contrasting yet equally effective methods. Here are the key battles that could decide the final.
Reading the Ahmedabad surface
The final will be played on pitch #6, a mixed-soil surface that also hosted the IPL 2025 final and the T20 World Cup 2026 final. Of the three primary wickets on the square, this one has produced the lowest average first-innings score in IPL and T20I matches since 2025: 199. While Ahmedabad overall has strongly favoured teams batting first (16 wins, 8 defeats), results on this particular surface are evenly split at 3-3. The two IPL 2026 games played on this particular wicket were both won by the chasing side, with the home team bowling out KKR for 180 and RCB for 155. The square has not been used during May, which should leave it fresher than most surfaces seen during the business end of the tournament.
Move around to disrupt seamers’ new ball lengths
The final pits together the two best new-ball seam attacks of the season. RCB and GT have picked up 33 wickets each in the Powerplay, with remarkably similar numbers across most metrics. As per Cricbuzz data logs, Titans seamers have hit a good-length band on 56.6% of deliveries in the first six overs – the highest among all teams. RCB are not far behind at 51.8%. When operating in that zone, the two attacks average 23.16 and 22.29 respectively.
Seam attacks in first 6 overs in IPL 2026
| Team | Wkts | Avg | SR | ER | Good length % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCB | 33 | 24.30 | 16.0 | 9.09 | 51.8% |
| GT | 33 | 25.45 | 17.0 | 8.93 | 56.6% |
| RR | 24 | 36.62 | 23.0 | 9.51 | 42.4% |
| SRH | 23 | 36.04 | 20.7 | 10.42 | 46.8% |
| LSG | 21 | 28.38 | 21.1 | 8.05 | 50.0% |
| PBKS | 16 | 50.56 | 29.5 | 10.26 | 49.7% |
| MI | 14 | 47.78 | 28.9 | 9.91 | 50.4% |
| KKR | 13 | 41.69 | 24.9 | 10.03 | 52.5% |
| CSK | 13 | 48.76 | 31.4 | 9.30 | 51.7% |
| DC | 10 | 66.40 | 39.9 | 9.98 | 51.6% |
One way both batting units counter elite seam bowling is by refusing to remain static at the crease. GT and RCB rank first and second respectively in the use of proactive footwork – advancing down the track, backing away, moving across the stumps or going deep in the crease – against pace in the Powerplay. They do so on 16.1% and 14.4% of deliveries respectively, well above the tournament average of 9.7%.
Virat Kohli and Devdutt Padikkal strike at over 200 when employing these movements, while Venkatesh Iyer, despite his limited time at the top, has shown a willingness to alter his position almost every second ball. Shubman Gill and Jos Buttler have been even more proactive, doing so on more than 20% of deliveries and scoring at strike rates of 188 and 196 respectively.
The tactic has had little effect on the lead Powerplay bowlers – Bhuvneshwar Kumar and Kagiso Rabada – but has proved more successful against Josh Hazlewood (ER 16.50) and Mohammed Siraj (ER 14.86).
Moving around the crease against pace in first 6 overs
| Batter | % of balls | SR | Dis |
|---|---|---|---|
| VR Iyer | 50.0% | 210.00 | 2 |
| JC Buttler | 28.9% | 195.83 | 2 |
| S Gill | 22.5% | 188.09 | 2 |
| JG Bethell | 16.9% | 230.00 | 2 |
| V Kohli | 15.3% | 203.70 | 3 |
| DB Padikkal | 14.8% | 223.52 | 0 |
| PD Salt | 8.7% | 283.33 | 0 |
| B Sai Sudharsan | 7.3% | 131.25 | 0 |
Rabada may have historically enjoyed the upper hand over Kohli, but their contests this season have largely tilted in the batter’s favour ©BCCI
Kohli’s twin tests: Rabada and Holder
22 off 11 in Bengaluru. 21 off 8 in Ahmedabad before being dismissed. 20 off 12 in Dharamsala.
Rabada may have historically enjoyed the upper hand over Kohli, but their contests this season have largely tilted in the batter’s favour. Kohli has been willing to take risks against Rabada’s new-ball pace, attacking on the rise and unsettling the seamer from his preferred lengths.
As a result, Rabada has conceded 11.75 per over against RCB in Powerplay compared to 9.05 against the rest of the opponents. If Kohli can once again force Rabada off his lengths, Gill may have to turn earlier than planned to Prasidh Krishna or Jason Holder, who have combined for four wicketless Powerplay overs costing 48 runs this season.
Should Kohli survive the Powerplay, another challenge awaits. Holder has dismissed him in both matches where the two have crossed paths this season and he has been one of the most effective middle-overs bowlers in the tournament. Between 7 and 15, he has taken 13 wickets at 16.38 while conceding only 7.34 per over. Using his height to generate steep bounce, Holder has relied heavily on hard lengths and bouncers. More than half his deliveries in this phase have been short, yielding seven wickets at an average of 15.14, including two dismissals of a well-set Kohli.
Holder by lengths in middle overs (7-15) in IPL 2026
| Length | Balls | Wkts | ER | SR | Dot% | False shot % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full length | 14 | 1 | 7.71 | 14.0 | 57.1 | 25.0% |
| Good length | 67 | 5 | 7.97 | 13.4 | 29.8 | 11.9% |
| Back of a length | 60 | 2 | 4.20 | 30.0 | 56.6 | 24.5% |
| Bouncer | 33 | 5 | 11.63 | 6.6 | 36.3 | 22.8% |
Kohli has attacked short-pitched bowling more aggressively than ever this season, but it has also brought vulnerability. Four of his dismissals to pace have come against deliveries back of a length or shorter, including thrice against GT. Twice, he has fallen while charging at short balls from seamers. With Ahmedabad’s square boundaries among the larger ones in the tournament, expect GT to revisit that plan.
Kohli vs pace by lengths in IPL 2026
| Length | Balls | Runs | Dis | SR | Bnd% | False shot % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full length | 36 | 66 | 1 | 183.33 | 27.8 | 23.2% |
| Good length | 131 | 252 | 5 | 192.36 | 29.0 | 18.7% |
| Back of a length | 66 | 93 | 2 | 140.90 | 19.7 | 25.3% |
| Bouncer | 44 | 76 | 2 | 172.72 | 29.5 | 28.8% |
No batter has dominated the post-Powerplay phases quite like Rajat Patidar this season. His 450 runs outside the Powerplay have come at a strike rate of 216.34 – the highest recorded by a batter in a single IPL season. He strikes at 204 in the middle overs and an extraordinary 249 at the death. Against pace he averages 60.33 at a strike rate of 192.55, while against spin the strike rate climbs further to 210.16, though five dismissals have come in just 59 balls.
Gill took Rashid Khan out of the attack when Patidar arrived in Qualifier 1, and with good reason. Patidar scored 34 off 16 balls against Rashid without being dismissed. A more intriguing option could be Manav Suthar, if Gill is brave enough. The left-arm spinner dismissed Patidar in Bengaluru with a delivery that drifted in, dipped and turned enough. Across T20 cricket, Suthar has removed him both times they crossed paths, in seven balls. Sai Kishore also dismissed Patidar in their previous meeting in the Syed Mushtaq Ali Trophy.
The alternative is to attack him with pace into the surface before he settles. Patidar has been dismissed four times by seamers bowling on a length or shorter within the first 20 balls of his innings. During that phase he averages 37 at a strike rate of 138.31. Once he crosses the 20-ball mark, those numbers explode: 75 runs off 29 balls at 258.62 without getting out.
Early wickets are therefore crucial. RCB’s batting order functions best when its designated finishers arrive at carefully planned entry points. That dependence has become more pronounced in 2026 because of the poor form of Jitesh Sharma and Romario Shepherd. Since 2025, RCB have been three down inside eight overs seven times and have lost five of those matches.
Bhuvneshwar Kumar enters the final with favourable matchups against both Gill and Buttler
The Bhuvneshwar conundrum
If RCB’s batting revolves around Kohli and Patidar, GT’s hopes are built around a top three that has carried much of the scoring burden through the season. Bhuvneshwar Kumar’s resurgence has made him one of the most influential new-ball bowlers in the tournament, and he enters the final with favourable matchups against both Gill and Buttler.
Buttler has long struggled against Bhuvneshwar’s inswinger and of his nine dismissals to the seamer, five have come within the first ten balls of his innings. Gill has also been vulnerable to deliveries angling back into him from a length, but against Bhuvneshwar five of his six dismissals came while attempting to force the ball through the offside.
Sai Sudharsan has managed the matchup better, falling only once in 45 deliveries, although Bhuvneshwar has largely kept him in check by conceding just 52 runs.
Should Buttler negotiate the opening spell, the contest shifts sharply in GT’s favour. He strikes at over 160 against every other member of the RCB attack. Collectively, Gill, Buttler and Sudharsan average 55.12 and score at 143.18 against back-foot bowling this season – a useful trait against an RCB attack built around seam and bounce.
Sudharsan enters the final after eight fifty-plus scores in his last ten innings, with the two failures coming against RCB. Earlier in the season he showed a vulnerability against spinners attacking his pads, an avenue RCB may explore through Krunal Pandya. The percentage of spin he faced in his first eight innings was 34.4%; across the last eight, that figure has fallen to 15.9%.
GT top 3 vs RBC new ball pair
| Batter | Bowler | Inns | Runs | Balls | Dis | Ave | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Buttler | J Hazlewood | 13 | 156 | 85 | 2 | 78.00 | 183.52 |
| J Buttler | Bhuvneshwar | 21 | 123 | 111 | 9 | 13.66 | 110.81 |
| S Gill | Bhuvneshwar | 14 | 80 | 79 | 6 | 13.33 | 101.26 |
| S Gill | J Hazlewood | 7 | 55 | 39 | 2 | 27.50 | 141.02 |
| Sai Sudharsan | Bhuvneshwar | 7 | 52 | 45 | 1 | 52.00 | 115.55 |
| Sai Sudharsan | J Hazlewood | 2 | 28 | 21 | 2 | 14.00 | 133.33 |
Can Titans hold on to their catches?
Margins are likely to be thin between two evenly matched sides. GT’s catching has repeatedly widened those margins in defeat. GT have dropped 26 catches this season, the second-most by any side, and it has repeatedly proved costly. They have lost only three of their last ten matches and in each of those defeats, they dropped the opposition’s eventual top scorer.
Kohli was reprieved first ball in Bengaluru and went on to make 81 off 44. Finn Allen was dropped on 33 before blasting 93 off 35. In Qualifier 1, Patidar was put down twice in the 14th over and added another 72 runs off just 20 balls after the second reprieve.
Their attack has regularly created opportunities; in a final where margins are thin, converting those chances could be the difference between glory and regret.
